Use Case

Data facts: World Temperature-Related Mortality Rates

Vivian

Jul 22, 2024

This analysis explores how temperature extremes affect mortality rates across different countries. We use descriptive statistics, geographical visualizations, and correlation analyses to uncover patterns and differences in deaths due to extreme cold and heat. Our findings highlight the need for targeted public health strategies to mitigate the impact of temperature-related health risks.

source: kaggle

Given the dataset, Powerdrill detects and analyzes the metadata, then gives these relevant inquiries:

Descriptive Statistics Summary:

  • Mean, Median, and Standard Deviation of Temperature-Related Deaths

  • Countries with Highest and Lowest Values for Each Type of Temperature-Related Death

Geographical Analysis Summary:

  • Comparison of Temperature-Related Deaths Across Countries

  • Visual Representation of Mortality Rates Using Maps or Heatmaps

Correlation Analysis Summary:

  • Correlation Between Different Types of Temperature-Related Deaths

  • Relationship Analysis Between Extreme Cold and Moderate Cold Deaths

Heatwaves and Cold Spells Impact Summary:

  • Impact of Significant Heatwaves and Cold Spells on Mortality Rates

  • Comparison of Mortality Rates During Extreme Events with Average Rates

Comparative Analysis Summary:

  • Comparison of Mortality Rates Due to Temperature Extremes Between Developed and Developing Countries

  • Analysis of Adaptation Strategies and Their Effectiveness

Outlier Analysis Summary:

  • Identification of Outliers and Anomalies in the Data

  • Investigation of Reasons Behind Unusual Values

Data Quality and Completeness Summary:

  • Assessment of Data Quality and Completeness

  • Evaluation of How Data Issues Affect Analysis and Findings

Descriptive Statistics

Descriptive Statistics for Temperature-Related Deaths

Extreme Cold:

  • Mean: 0.607857

  • Median: 0.65

  • Standard Deviation: 0.240806

  • Country with Highest Deaths: China (1.06 deaths)

  • Country with Lowest Deaths: Canada (0.25 deaths)

Moderate Cold:

  • Mean: 5.62714

  • Median: 5.485

  • Standard Deviation: 2.41741

  • Country with Highest Deaths: China (9.31 deaths)

  • Country with Lowest Deaths: Thailand (2.17 deaths)

Moderate Heat:

  • Mean: 0.31

  • Median: 0.215

  • Standard Deviation: 0.260118

  • Country with Highest Deaths: Italy (0.94 deaths)

  • Country with Lowest Deaths: Sweden (0.03 deaths)

Extreme Heat:

  • Mean: 0.294286

  • Median: 0.24

  • Standard Deviation: 0.14426

  • Country with Highest Deaths: Italy (0.67 deaths)

  • Country with Lowest Deaths: Sweden (0.15 deaths)

These statistics provide a comprehensive overview of the impact of temperature extremes on mortality across different countries, highlighting the variability in susceptibility and response to temperature-related events.

Geographical Analysis

Overview

The geographical analysis of temperature-related deaths across various countries has been effectively visualized using a heatmap. This visualization aids in understanding the impact of extreme and moderate temperatures on mortality rates in different regions.

Key Observations from the Heatmap

High Moderate Cold Deaths:

  • China and Japan show the highest numbers in moderate cold-related deaths with values of 9.31 and 9.04 respectively, indicating a significant impact of moderate cold temperatures on mortality in these countries.

  • Italy and the United Kingdom also exhibit high numbers, with 8.51 and 7.62 respectively.

Extreme Cold Deaths:

  • China reports the highest extreme cold-related deaths at 1.06, which is significantly higher compared to other countries.

  • Other countries like Italy and the United Kingdom also show relatively high values (0.85 and 0.86 respectively).

Moderate Heat Deaths:

  • Italy shows the highest number of deaths due to moderate heat at 0.94.

  • This is followed by Brazil and Taiwan, which have moderate heat deaths at 0.48 and 0.60 respectively.

Extreme Heat Deaths:

  • Italy again stands out with the highest number of extreme heat-related deaths at 0.67.

  • China and Spain follow with values of 0.40 and 0.52 respectively.

Conclusion

The heatmap visualization clearly delineates the varying impact of temperature extremes on mortality across different countries. Italy, China, and the United Kingdom are particularly affected by both extreme and moderate temperature conditions. This analysis underscores the need for targeted public health interventions and policies that are tailored to the specific climatic risks faced by each country. The data suggests a pronounced vulnerability to both cold and heat extremes in several regions, highlighting the importance of enhancing resilience and preparedness against temperature-related health risks.

Correlation Analysis

1. Correlation Between Extreme Cold and Moderate Cold

  • Correlation Coefficient: 0.681667

  • Interpretation: There is a moderate positive correlation between deaths due to extreme cold and moderate cold. This suggests that countries with higher deaths from extreme cold conditions also tend to have higher deaths from moderate cold conditions.

2. Correlation Between Extreme Heat and Moderate Heat

  • Correlation Coefficient: 0.756425

  • Interpretation: There is a strong positive correlation between deaths due to extreme heat and moderate heat. This indicates that countries experiencing higher deaths from extreme heat also experience higher deaths from moderate heat.

3. Correlation Between Extreme Cold and Extreme Heat

  • Correlation Coefficient: 0.503603

  • Interpretation: There is a moderate positive correlation between deaths due to extreme cold and extreme heat. This suggests that countries with higher deaths from extreme cold might also experience higher deaths from extreme heat, although the relationship is less strong compared to other correlations.

4. Correlation Between Moderate Cold and Moderate Heat

  • Correlation Coefficient: -0.141916

  • Interpretation: There is a slight negative correlation between deaths due to moderate cold and moderate heat. This implies that countries with higher deaths from moderate cold tend to have slightly lower deaths from moderate heat.

Summary

The analysis reveals significant positive correlations between similar types of temperature extremes (cold-cold and heat-heat) indicating that countries prone to one type of temperature extreme (either cold or heat) are likely to experience higher deaths from both its extreme and moderate forms. However, the negative correlation between moderate cold and moderate heat suggests a divergent pattern where increases in deaths from one do not correspond with increases in the other. This comprehensive analysis helps in understanding the impact of temperature extremes on mortality across different countries.

Heatwaves and Cold Spells

Analysis of Mortality Rates During Significant Weather Events

Key Findings:

Average Mortality Rates for Different Temperature Categories:

  • Extreme Cold: 0.607857 deaths per 100,000

  • Moderate Cold: 5.62714 deaths per 100,000

  • Moderate Heat: 0.31 deaths per 100,000

  • Extreme Heat: 0.294286 deaths per 100,000

Countries with Significant Deviations in Mortality Rates:

  • Moderate Cold: Notable deviations were observed in several countries:

  • China, Italy, and Japan showed higher than average mortality rates.

  • Brazil and Canada showed lower than average mortality rates.

Visualization of Deviations:

The bar chart illustrates significant deviations in mortality rates due to temperature extremes across various countries. Countries like China, Italy, and Japan show positive deviations indicating higher mortality rates during moderate cold compared to the average, while Brazil and Canada show negative deviations.

Implications:

The data suggests that certain countries are more adversely affected by moderate cold conditions, which could be due to various factors including but not limited to demographic differences, healthcare infrastructure, and local climate adaptations.

Countries with negative deviations might have better resilience or preparedness against moderate cold conditions.

Recommendations:

  • Further Investigation: Detailed analysis on the specific factors contributing to these deviations in mortality rates during extreme weather conditions.

  • Policy Implementation: Countries with higher deviations should consider enhancing their public health strategies and infrastructure to better cope with adverse temperature conditions.

This analysis provides a foundational understanding of how extreme temperature conditions affect mortality rates across different countries and highlights the need for targeted interventions in regions most affected.

Comparative Analysis

Mortality Rates by Development Status

The data provided shows distinct differences in mortality rates due to temperature extremes between developed and developing countries:

Extreme Cold:

  • Developed countries have a slightly lower mortality rate (0.59) compared to developing countries (0.61).

Moderate Cold:

  • Developed countries exhibit significantly higher mortality rates (6.18) than developing countries (5.48).

Moderate Heat:

  • Developed countries again show higher mortality rates (0.45) compared to developing countries (0.27).

Extreme Heat:

  • Similar to moderate heat, developed countries have a higher mortality rate (0.42) than developing countries (0.26).

Adaptation to Extreme Temperatures

The analysis of how different regions adapt to extreme temperatures can be inferred from the mortality rates:

Developed Countries:

  • Show lower mortality rates in extreme cold but higher rates in both moderate and extreme heat conditions. This suggests better adaptation to cold temperatures but less effectiveness in coping with heat.

Developing Countries:

  • Consistently lower mortality rates in heat-related conditions indicate potentially better adaptation or acclimatization to higher temperatures, despite higher rates in extreme cold.

Effectiveness of Adaptations in Reducing Mortality

The heatmap visualization provides a clear comparative insight into the effectiveness of adaptations:

Extreme Cold:

  • Both regions have similar effectiveness, with developed countries slightly more effective.

Moderate Cold:

  • Developed countries show higher mortality rates, suggesting less effective adaptations compared to developing countries.

Moderate and Extreme Heat:

  • Developing countries demonstrate more effective adaptations with significantly lower mortality rates compared to developed countries.

Conclusion

Developed countries are more effective in adapting to extreme cold conditions but show less effectiveness in coping with heat, reflected by higher mortality rates in moderate and extreme heat conditions. In contrast, developing countries appear to be better adapted to heat extremes, with lower mortality rates in these categories, though they are slightly less effective in handling extreme cold. This analysis underscores the importance of region-specific strategies to enhance adaptation measures to temperature extremes, tailored to the unique challenges faced by each development category.

Outlier Analysis

Impact Analysis

  • Extreme Cold: Outliers have a mean of 0.78, which is higher than the non-outliers mean of 0.579.

  • Moderate Cold: Outliers have a significantly higher mean (6.63) compared to non-outliers (5.46).

  • Moderate Heat: Outliers have a mean of 0.74, which is considerably higher than the non-outliers mean of 0.238.

  • Extreme Heat: Outliers have a mean of 0.595, slightly higher than the non-outliers mean of 0.244.

Visualization Analysis

  • Box Plot: Shows a clear distinction between the means of outliers and non-outliers, particularly in the 'Moderate Cold' category where the outlier mean is significantly higher.

  • Scatter Plot: Highlights the specific weather events where outliers are present, with 'Extreme Heat' showing a noticeable deviation in mean values between outliers and non-outliers.

Overall, the analysis indicates that outliers tend to have higher mean values in their respective categories, suggesting that these anomalies could be linked to more severe weather conditions. The visualizations provide a clear depiction of these differences, aiding in understanding the distribution and impact of outliers in the dataset.

Data Quality and Completeness

Overview

The dataset has been evaluated for quality and completeness, focusing on missing values, data type inconsistencies, and the presence of outliers. The assessment provides insights into the integrity and usability of the data for further analysis.

Key Findings

Missing Values

  • No missing values detected across all columns.

  • Consistency: All columns have 0 missing values, indicating high data completeness.

Data Types

  • Variety in data types across columns:

  • Types observed: 'object', 'float64', 'int64'.

  • Potential Issues: The presence of 'object' data types may require conversion or additional parsing depending on the analysis needs.

Outliers

  • Outliers present in some columns:

  • Statistics: Mean = 0.50, Std = 1.00, Min = 0.00, Max = 2.00.

  • Specific Observations: Outliers are present in at least one column (2 outliers noted).

  • Impact: Outliers can skew the results and interpretations of the data analysis, necessitating further investigation or remediation.

Conclusion

The dataset exhibits a high level of completeness with no missing values detected. However, the presence of different data types and outliers in certain columns may require additional preprocessing steps before conducting any further analysis. It is recommended to standardize the data types where necessary and investigate the cause and impact of the outliers to ensure robust analytical outcomes.

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